21 Jul · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1528
FormWWWLL
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Bereiter
MB
🇨🇿Marek Bereiter
ELO 1536
FormLLWLW
50%
50%
🌟Bereiter covers set handicap as favourite 64% (14)
Fair odds · Bereiter
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H0-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.