21 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Martin Biolek
ELO 1711
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Dzida
JD
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1713
FormWWLLW
50%
50%
🌟Biolek covers set handicap as underdog 79% (38)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+2
H2H52-41
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.