21 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1702
FormLWWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Szotkowski
MV
🇨🇿Michal Vavrecka
ELO 1569
FormLWLLW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vavrecka🌟Szotkowski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (116)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+133
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+133)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)