21 Jul · 12:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
ZK
🇨🇿Zdenek Kasinski
ELO 1455
FormLLWLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kasinski
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1324
FormLWLWL
57%
43%
Fair odds · Kasinski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 61% · 1.64· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+131
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)