21 Jul · 08:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1499
FormLLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Barton
DB
🇨🇿David Barton
ELO 1533
FormLWWWL
48%
52%
🌟Jungman stays under total as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Barton
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+34
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.