22 Jul · 01:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1357
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Kosar
VK
🇨🇿Vaclav Kosar
ELO 1453
FormWWWWW
45%
55%
Fair odds · Kosar
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 71% · 1.41· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+96
H2H5-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Better recent form (5-0)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-4)