21 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1586
FormWLLWL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Svechota
VS
🇨🇿Vojtech Svechota
ELO 1660
FormWWLLW
46%
54%
🌟Svechota stays under total as favourite 67% (42)
Fair odds · Svechota
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.