21 Jul · 10:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Marek Bereiter
ELO 1536
FormLLWLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Martinak
LM
🇨🇿Lukas Martinak
ELO 1543
FormWLLWL
50%
50%
🌟Martinak stays under total as favourite 70% (20)
Fair odds · Martinak
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 48% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+7
H2H4-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.