21 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1262
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kubat
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1303
FormWWLLW
48%
52%
🌟1961 stays under total as underdog 63% (43)
Fair odds · Kubat
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+41
H2H45-61
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.