21 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jiri Plachy
ELO 1463
FormWLLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Darin
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1541
FormLLLWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Darin
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 52% · 1.93· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+78
H2H25-19
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.