21 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DU
🇨🇿Daniel Unzeitig
ELO 1528
FormWWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Snr
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Neuwirth Snr
ELO 1555
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
🌟Snr rarely covers set handicap as favourite 25% (48)
Fair odds · Snr
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+27
H2H6-10
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.