21 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
CH
🇨🇿Cesta Havrda
ELO 1277
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Kubat
VK
🇨🇿Vladimir Kubat
ELO 1303
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
Fair odds · Kubat
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 38% · 2.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H18-32
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.