21 Jul · 10:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
J1
🇨🇿Jaroslav Strnad 1961
ELO 1262
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Smesny
MS
🇨🇿Milan Smesny
ELO 1358
FormLWWWL
45%
55%
🌟Smesny rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (41)
Fair odds · Smesny
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 64% · 1.55· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+96
H2H27-13
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+96)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-13)