21 Jul · 21:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MP
🇨🇿Martin Parzhizek
ELO 1753
FormLLLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Medek
JM
🇨🇿Josef Medek
ELO 1805
FormWWLLL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Medek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+52
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.