21 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JZ
🇨🇿Jan Zajicek
ELO 1844
FormWLWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Zajicek
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1782
FormLWWWL
53%
47%
🌟Opanasiuk covers set handicap as underdog 71% (72)
Fair odds · Zajicek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 59% · 1.69· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+62
H2H6-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.