21 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1586
FormWLLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Huk
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kolar
ELO 1566
FormLLLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kolar🌟Huk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (208)
Fair odds · Huk
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.