21 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MH
🇨🇿Martin Huk
ELO 1586
FormWLLWL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Kolisnyk
OK
🇨🇿Oleksandr Kolisnyk
ELO 1645
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Huk🌟Kolisnyk rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (74)
Fair odds · Kolisnyk
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 52% · 1.94· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+59
H2H56-65
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.