21 Jul · 09:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VB
🇨🇿Vitezslav Bosak
ELO 1453
FormLWLLW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Cerny
VC
🇨🇿Vojtech Cerny
ELO 1458
FormWWLWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Cerny🌟Cerny stays under total as favourite 71% (17)
Fair odds · Cerny
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 42% · 2.37· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~78 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+5
H2H0-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.