21 Jul · 14:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1324
FormLLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Sr
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1324
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Sr
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.80· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+0
H2H13-13
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.