21 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KD
🇨🇿Kyryl Darin
ELO 1541
FormLLLWW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Darin
FJ
🇨🇿Filip Jungman
ELO 1499
FormLLLLW
52%
48%
🌟Jungman stays under total as underdog 64% (22)
Fair odds · Darin
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 36% · 2.81· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+42
H2H2-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.