21 Jul · 14:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1341
FormWWLLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Kasinski
ZK
🇨🇿Zdenek Kasinski
ELO 1455
FormLLWLL
44%
56%
Fair odds · Kasinski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 68% · 1.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+114
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+114)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)