21 Jul · 13:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1628
FormLLLWW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Szotkowski
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1702
FormLWWLW
46%
54%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 71% (283)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 58% · 1.71· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H95-77
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.