21 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1702
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Szotkowski
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1628
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 71% (283)
Fair odds · Szotkowski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
17%
1-3
17%
3-0
16%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+74
H2H95-77
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.