21 Jul · 12:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇨🇿Michael Sedlacek
ELO 1740
FormWLWLW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Sedlacek
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1628
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Zika🌟Sedlacek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 28% (83)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+112
H2H66-35
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+112)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (66-35)