21 Jul · 18:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JD
🇨🇿Jan Dzida
ELO 1713
FormWWLLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Dzida
TZ
🇨🇿Tadeas Zika
ELO 1628
FormLLLWW
54%
46%
🌟Zika covers set handicap as underdog 71% (283)
Fair odds · Dzida
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 72% · 1.39· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
3-2
18%
1-3
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+85
H2H28-9
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.