21 Jul · 20:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
DO
🇨🇿Dmytro Opanasiuk
ELO 1782
FormLWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Opanasiuk
MP
🇨🇿Martin Parzhizek
ELO 1753
FormLLLLL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Opanasiuk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H1-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.