21 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jakub Pilch
ELO 1615
FormWWWWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Wawrosz
PW
🇨🇿Pavel Wawrosz
ELO 1663
FormWWWWW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Pilch🌟Wawrosz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 27% (137)
Fair odds · Wawrosz
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+48
H2H1-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.