21 Jul · 13:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JS
🇨🇿Jiri Svec
ELO 1324
FormLWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1341
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Grohsgott stays under total as favourite 64% (107)
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H82-48
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.