21 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MB
🇨🇿Marek Blejchar
ELO 1489
FormWWLLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hrabec
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hrabec
ELO 1546
FormLWWWL
47%
53%
Fair odds · Hrabec
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H1-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.