21 Jul · 13:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1324
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Kasinski
ZK
🇨🇿Zdenek Kasinski
ELO 1455
FormLLWLL
43%
57%
Fair odds · Kasinski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~75 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+131
H2H13-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+131)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (13-11)