21 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JP
🇨🇿Jan Pleskot
ELO 1438
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Bruzek
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1467
FormWLWWL
48%
52%
🌟Bruzek stays under total as favourite 78% (27)
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H10-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.