22 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1422
FormWWWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Mazanek
SM
🇨🇿Stanislav Mazanek
ELO 1461
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🌟Mazanek stays under total as favourite 64% (44)
Fair odds · Mazanek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 22% · 4.46· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+39
H2H0-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.