21 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MK
🇨🇿Miroslav Kowolowski
ELO 1553
FormWLWWL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Kowolowski
MJ
🇨🇿Milan Jasek
ELO 1516
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
🌟Jasek stays under total as underdog 73% (22)
Fair odds · Kowolowski
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 58% · 1.74· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+37
H2H2-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.