22 Jul · 02:30 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Jan Potensky
ELO 1357
FormLLWLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Mazanek
SM
🇨🇿Stanislav Mazanek
ELO 1461
FormWWLWL
45%
55%
🌟Mazanek stays under total as favourite 64% (44)
Fair odds · Mazanek
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 74% · 1.35· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+104
H2H32-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+104)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (32-6)