21 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MB
🇨🇿Miroslav Barta
ELO 1429
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Andrle
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1447
FormLWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Andrle rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (48)
Fair odds · Andrle
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 72% · 1.38· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+18
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.