21 Jul · 22:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KK
🇨🇿Karel Kapras
ELO 1502
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Schopf
KS
🇨🇿Karel Schopf
ELO 1575
FormWLLLW
46%
54%
🌟Schopf rarely covers set handicap as favourite 32% (31)
Fair odds · Schopf
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+73
H2H6-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.