22 Jul · 01:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
AH
🇨🇿Ales Hlawatschke
ELO 1546
FormLWLLW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Hlawatschke
MS
🇨🇿Martin Sobisek
ELO 1495
FormWLWWW
53%
47%
🌟Sobisek covers set handicap as underdog 64% (107)
Fair odds · Hlawatschke
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 38% · 2.64· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+51
H2H2-11
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.