21 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Milota
ELO 1507
FormLWLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vavrecka
RV
🇨🇿Radomir Vavrecka
ELO 1550
FormWWLWL
48%
52%
🔥 Underdog lean · Milota🌟Vavrecka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (41)
Fair odds · Vavrecka
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 64% · 1.56· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~78 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H7-2
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.