21 Jul · 09:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
DP
🇨🇿Dmitro Parhomenko
ELO 1513
FormLLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Parhomenko
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1501
FormLWLWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Parhomenko
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 22% · 4.48· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H1-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.