21 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
VK
🇨🇿Vlastimil Kolar
ELO 1566
FormLLLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Jezek
MJ
🇨🇿Michal Jezek
ELO 1641
FormLLWWW
46%
54%
Fair odds · Jezek
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
20%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
0-3
16%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+75
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.