22 Jul · 03:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JP
🇨🇿Josef Pelikan
ELO 1334
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.821956
L1
🇨🇿Ladislav Havel 1956
ELO 1422
FormWWWWL
45%
55%
Fair odds · 1956
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 37%Total ~74 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
3-1
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+88
H2H5-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+88)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)