21 Jul · 17:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1563
FormLWWLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Urbaniec
DS
🇨🇿David Szotek
ELO 1540
FormWLLLL
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Szotek🌟Szotek stays under total as underdog 70% (43)
Fair odds · Urbaniec
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~74 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+23
H2H13-16
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.