21 Jul · 22:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RV
🇨🇿Radomir Vavrecka
ELO 1550
FormWWLWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Vavrecka
DO
🇨🇿Dominik Oborny
ELO 1521
FormWLWLW
51%
49%
🌟Vavrecka rarely covers set handicap as favourite 29% (41)
Fair odds · Vavrecka
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+29
H2H9-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.