21 Jul · 16:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
VS
🇨🇿Vaclav Hruska Sr
ELO 1324
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Grohsgott
JG
🇨🇿Jiri Grohsgott
ELO 1341
FormWWLLW
49%
51%
🌟Grohsgott stays under total as favourite 64% (107)
Fair odds · Grohsgott
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~73 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+17
H2H15-14
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.