21 Jul · 16:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MS
🇨🇿Martin Skotnica
ELO 1575
FormLLWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Skotnica
RU
🇨🇿Radim Urbaniec
ELO 1563
FormLWWLL
51%
49%
🌟Skotnica rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (19)
Fair odds · Skotnica
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+12
H2H2-1
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.