21 Jul · 17:30 MESZLow · Coin Flip
MC
🇨🇿Michal Chalupa
ELO 1566
FormLLLWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Skotnica
MS
🇨🇿Martin Skotnica
ELO 1575
FormLLWWL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Skotnica🌟Chalupa covers set handicap as underdog 68% (76)
Fair odds · Skotnica
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 46% · 2.16· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+9
H2H0-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.