21 Jul · 10:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Varnuska
ELO 1509
FormWLWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Varnuska
DT
🇨🇿Daniel Tuma
ELO 1501
FormLWLWL
50%
50%
🌟Varnuska stays under total as favourite 71% (14)
Fair odds · Varnuska
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 41% · 2.42· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
15%
Elo Gap+8
H2H5-7
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.