21 Jul · 14:00 MESZLow · Slight Edge
MS
🇨🇿Michael Sedlacek
ELO 1740
FormWLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Sedlacek
JS
🇨🇿Jan Szotkowski
ELO 1702
FormLWWLW
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Szotkowski🌟Szotkowski covers set handicap as underdog 78% (68)
Fair odds · Sedlacek
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
17%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+38
H2H47-37
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.