21 Jul · 18:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
TA
🇨🇿Tomas Andrle
ELO 1447
FormLWWWL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Bruzek
PB
🇨🇿Petr Bruzek
ELO 1467
FormWLWWL
49%
51%
🌟Bruzek stays under total as favourite 78% (27)
Fair odds · Bruzek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~77 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
18%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
15%
Elo Gap+20
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.