21 Jul · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KS
🇨🇿Karel Schopf
ELO 1575
FormWLLLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Vinter
TV
🇨🇿Tomas Vinter
ELO 1618
FormWWWLW
48%
52%
🌟Schopf covers set handicap as underdog 68% (28)
Fair odds · Vinter
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~79 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
17%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+43
H2H4-5
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.